Comments on: iPhone week one http://billday.com/2007/01/17/iphone-week-one/ Thoughts on software development and mobility Mon, 13 Oct 2008 14:02:15 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.6.2 By: BillDay.com » Nokia and Motorola: Two horse race http://billday.com/2007/01/17/iphone-week-one/#comment-55497 BillDay.com » Nokia and Motorola: Two horse race Fri, 02 Feb 2007 21:11:19 +0000 http://billday.com/2007/01/17/iphone-week-one/#comment-55497 [...] Getting to the next order of magnitude, however, will be quite a bit more challenging. 10% share would position Apple in the top three mobile makers, assuming they grab share more at the expense of Samsung, Sony Ericsson, and LG than Nokia or Motorola. And as you can see from this quarter’s numbers, 10% iPhone market share won’t be easy to come by. But given the key bit of my quote from mid-2006, that this is a race based upon “design and marketing”, I’d say Apple has a better chance than anyone else at getting there from here. Assuming they listen to feedback, of course. Digg this | | Permalink [...] [...] Getting to the next order of magnitude, however, will be quite a bit more challenging. 10% share would position Apple in the top three mobile makers, assuming they grab share more at the expense of Samsung, Sony Ericsson, and LG than Nokia or Motorola. And as you can see from this quarter’s numbers, 10% iPhone market share won’t be easy to come by. But given the key bit of my quote from mid-2006, that this is a race based upon “design and marketing”, I’d say Apple has a better chance than anyone else at getting there from here. Assuming they listen to feedback, of course. Digg this | | Permalink [...]

]]> By: BillDay.com http://billday.com/2007/01/17/iphone-week-one/#comment-54332 BillDay.com Sat, 27 Jan 2007 04:06:28 +0000 http://billday.com/2007/01/17/iphone-week-one/#comment-54332 <strong>Carnival of the Mobilists no. 59...</strong> Xen Mendelsohn has posted The Carnival of the Mobilists no. 59. My “iPhone week one” was one of the posts picked up for carnival #59. Thanks Xen! ...... Carnival of the Mobilists no. 59…

Xen Mendelsohn has posted The Carnival of the Mobilists no. 59.
My “iPhone week one” was one of the posts picked up for carnival #59. Thanks Xen!
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]]> By: Tim Estes http://billday.com/2007/01/17/iphone-week-one/#comment-52992 Tim Estes Wed, 17 Jan 2007 23:03:39 +0000 http://billday.com/2007/01/17/iphone-week-one/#comment-52992 Prediction: iPhone + Cingular = lot of hype and surprising, Cube-like, lack of adoption. Either a major refactoring is done with it within 12 months or it goes the way of the Cube. The pricing is targeted at the PDA/Smartphone crowd (who are the only ones who will pay $499+ (after discount) for a phone. They want key features for productivity (Outlook/push sync - and that DOESN'T mean Yahoo! mail), apps for many things that can be quickly ported over - WindowsMobile, Palm-style - to cover gaps in the offering, and flexibility with providers (unlocking capability in case the one their with really turns out to have poor service). The IPod component might have saved it if they allowed Skype at WiFi hubs (but that is blocked by Cingular not wanting any VOIP to run on it). In any case, I think that baring some MAJOR changes, this iPhone diversion is going to prove very disappointing come Q3 earnings... Finally - the one quote that showed the complete lack of understanding of the mobile marketplace - dooms the device: "Jobs: “Java’s not worth building in. Nobody uses Java anymore. It’s this big heavyweight ball and chain.” So, this phone is going to have to be completely driven by Apple app ports and/or a group of ISVs that can make money on a proprietary/tiny platform where apps can only be sold for Prediction: iPhone + Cingular = lot of hype and surprising, Cube-like, lack of adoption. Either a major refactoring is done with it within 12 months or it goes the way of the Cube.

The pricing is targeted at the PDA/Smartphone crowd (who are the only ones who will pay $499+ (after discount) for a phone. They want key features for productivity (Outlook/push sync - and that DOESN’T mean Yahoo! mail), apps for many things that can be quickly ported over - WindowsMobile, Palm-style - to cover gaps in the offering, and flexibility with providers (unlocking capability in case the one their with really turns out to have poor service).

The IPod component might have saved it if they allowed Skype at WiFi hubs (but that is blocked by Cingular not wanting any VOIP to run on it). In any case, I think that baring some MAJOR changes, this iPhone diversion is going to prove very disappointing come Q3 earnings…

Finally - the one quote that showed the complete lack of understanding of the mobile marketplace - dooms the device:

“Jobs: “Java’s not worth building in. Nobody uses Java anymore. It’s this big heavyweight ball and chain.”

So, this phone is going to have to be completely driven by Apple app ports and/or a group of ISVs that can make money on a proprietary/tiny platform where apps can only be sold for

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